
*One major spoiler from episode 6*
The writing’s starting to appear on the wall now. You can’t necessarily predict how it’s all going down, but it’s evident that things are heading for a collision.
At the end of the previous episode, Félix made his harshest power move yet—he ended the Sinaloa-Tijuana feud by allowing the Tijuana guys to kill Cochiloco, thereby satisfying their inflamed egos and putting the remaining Sinaloans in their place. But that move is now backfiring on him. One plaza boss wants to get out from under Félix altogether, and Walt gets an anonymous tip that another wants to meet with him. Meanwhile, predictions for the upcoming election spell disaster for Félix’s politician friends, and he searches for a way to save his own ass by rescuing theirs.
I won’t spoil who the potential defectors are, but the way it plays out is pretty compelling. We have tense action scenes in which lives are in peril, and we also get quiet one-on-one scenes featuring terrific acting and dialogue. And despite Walt’s annoyance at having to go follow an anonymous tip in the first place, preferring to stick with Amado and the planes, a major fish offers to place itself on his hook.
The political situation in Mexico has been an ongoing plotline this season, more so than in season 1, and it really takes on an important role now. For years, the PRI has been the reigning party in Mexico, doing what they like with impunity. But after their negligent response to a massive earthquake, a leftwing populist leader, Cárdenas, has gained a groundswell of support and could actually unseat them. As Walt puts it in his narration, “When hope catches on, that shit spreads like a prairie fire.”
This is an issue for Félix, not just because he’s in bed with the PRI, but because Cárdenas is vehemently anti-narcos. Mr. X reminds him, “Cárdenas takes office, and you’re in a jail cell the same day.” It’s an interesting situation for all involved, because after the events of season 1, Félix doesn’t trust any of these politicians anymore. He’s essentially holding them ransom for his own cover. And virtually anyone in the party who interacts with him makes it clear that they despise him. But Félix’s continued survival depends on convincing them that they need him to survive.
And that’s where the election predictions come in. Through an office called SNIPE, a computer program tabulates voter data to predict outcomes (Walt’s narration reminds us that this was cutting edge in 1988 Mexico,) and the data is handing the election to Cárdenas easily. When Félix is introduced to this, he’s clearly out of his depth—he calls a predicted 54% victory in Mexico City “a coin toss,” while the politicians in the room know it’s a landslide—but he somehow finds a way to catch up very quickly and turn it to his advantage.
In recent episodes, we’ve seen a new angle from Félix. His grip on power is tighter than ever, and yet he seems to be having more and more trouble hanging onto it. As a result, his moves are getting more precarious. In the past, we’ve seen him have to dig deep as he pulls out a gambit he’s not sure will work, promising something he thinks will save him but unsure if the other person will bite. But first with the Colombians and now here with the PRI, we see him promising things he’s not even sure he can do. Although he still presents a very controlled exterior for the most part, we the audience can see how the spinning plates are starting to get away from him. I really like how Diego Luna plays this, the way we see Félix act calm and collected in front of those he’s playing metaphorical chess with but freaking out in private. And in this episode, we see yet another example of a classist elite mocking him to his face (what is their obsession with being snobs to the powerful, dangerous drug trafficker?)—Félix doesn’t react at all in the moment, but one look at his face can tell you he won’t forget a word of this.

